Today's free pick,with the full case.
The case
The Over 6 goals pick is supported by the high-scoring nature of Utah Mammoth's games and the poor goaltending statistics for both teams this season. Utah has scored 51 goals in 14 games and seen 8 of their last 10 games go over 6 goals. Both Philadelphia's Joseph Woll (.899 SV%) and Dan Vladar (.888 SV%), and Utah's Karel Vejmelka (.881 SV%) and Sebastian Cossa (.857 SV%) have save percentages below .900, suggesting a higher likelihood of goals.
- Utah Mammoth: High-scoring games, with 8 of their last 10 going over 6 goals this season.
- Both teams: Goaltenders Joseph Woll (.899 SV%), Dan Vladar (.888 SV%), Karel Vejmelka (.881 SV%), and Sebastian Cossa (.857 SV%) have low save percentages this…
- Philadelphia Flyers: Weak defense has allowed 51 goals in 15 games this 2026/2027 season.
Yesterday's free pick
The case
Edmonton's stronger current attack is the clearest edge: Connor McDavid has 36 points, Leon Draisaitl 24 and Evan Bouchard 22 in 2026/2027. Edmonton is also 9-2-2 with 56 goals, while New York is 6-4-2 with 36 goals. New York has won four of its last five, but Mathew Barzal, Matias Maccelli and Calum Ritchie are unavailable, and Edmonton's goalie situation is also uncertain with Devon Levi injured. The price offers only modest value, so confidence remains moderate.
- Edmonton Oilers: Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl and Evan Bouchard combine for 82 points this season.
- New York Islanders: Mathew Barzal, Matias Maccelli and Calum Ritchie are listed on IR.
- Edmonton Oilers: 9-2-2 with 56 goals through 13 games, compared with New York's 6-4-2 and 36 goals.
- Both teams: No starting goalie is announced; Edmonton lists Devon Levi on IR.